Rough Rice: a 3.6σ rise on 15 July 2026

Recorded 7 October 2026

On 15 July 2026 Rough Rice rose 5.93% close to close, 3.6 times its typical daily move of 1.65% over the 20 sessions before it: larger than every one of the 7 sessions on record before it. 8 other instruments of the 198 measured that day moved 2σ or more.

The day

Daily closes, as recorded the night after

Move: +5.93%
Size: +3.6σ
Typical day before it: 1.65%
Close: 13.93
Previous close, 14 July 2026: 13.15
Since, to 22 October 2026: +27.93%

Rough Rice, the 23 sessions to 15 July 2026

Daily closes; the last point is the quake

Show values

Rough Rice, the 23 sessions to 15 July 2026
Point	RICE
10 Jun 2026	12.32
11 Jun 2026	12.20
12 Jun 2026	12.04
15 Jun 2026	11.81
16 Jun 2026	11.84
17 Jun 2026	11.93
18 Jun 2026	12.20
22 Jun 2026	12.48
23 Jun 2026	12.90
24 Jun 2026	12.93
25 Jun 2026	12.98
26 Jun 2026	13.10
29 Jun 2026	13.22
30 Jun 2026	12.82
1 Jul 2026	12.86
2 Jul 2026	12.81
6 Jul 2026	12.80
7 Jul 2026	13.22
8 Jul 2026	13.14
9 Jul 2026	13.44
10 Jul 2026	13.35
13 Jul 2026	13.17
14 Jul 2026	13.15
15 Jul 2026	13.93

The same day

Other quakes on 15 July 2026

Instrument	Move	Size
Oats OATS	+21.28%	+7.0σ
Wheat WHEAT	+7.33%	+4.3σ
British Pound / Canadian Dollar GBP/CAD	+0.96%	+3.4σ
British Pound / US Dollar GBP/USD	+1.08%	+3.3σ
Euro / British Pound EUR/GBP	−0.68%	−3.1σ
British Pound / Japanese Yen GBP/JPY	+0.97%	+3.0σ

Rough Rice's other quakes

On record, newest first

21 August 2026: +3.93%, +3.1σ

How it is measured

The move is the close-to-close return; its size is that return divided by the standard deviation of Rough Rice's previous 20 daily returns. A quake is 3σ or more. This record was made the night after the day finished trading and has not been changed since. The live chart is on Rough Rice's page; the last few months of every market's daily moves are on the volatility terrain, and every quake on record is in the quake archive.