Oats: a 7.0σ rise on 15 July 2026
Recorded 7 October 2026On 15 July 2026 Oats rose 21.28% close to close, 7.0 times its typical daily move of 3.04% over the 20 sessions before it: larger than every one of the 7 sessions on record before it. 8 other instruments of the 198 measured that day moved 2σ or more.
The day
Daily closes, as recorded the night after
- Move
- +21.28%
- Size
- +7.0σ
- Typical day before it
- 3.04%
- Close
- 354.75
- Previous close, 14 July 2026
- 292.5
- Since, to 23 October 2026
- +5.92%
Oats, the 23 sessions to 15 July 2026
Daily closes; the last point is the quake
Show values
| Point | OATS |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 319 |
| 11 Jun 2026 | 316 |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 306 |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 297 |
| 16 Jun 2026 | 305 |
| 17 Jun 2026 | 307 |
| 18 Jun 2026 | 313 |
| 22 Jun 2026 | 304 |
| 23 Jun 2026 | 302 |
| 24 Jun 2026 | 283 |
| 25 Jun 2026 | 274 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 277 |
| 29 Jun 2026 | 260 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 264 |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 272 |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 286 |
| 6 Jul 2026 | 289 |
| 7 Jul 2026 | 294 |
| 8 Jul 2026 | 299 |
| 9 Jul 2026 | 295 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 301 |
| 13 Jul 2026 | 301 |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 293 |
| 15 Jul 2026 | 355 |
The same day
Other quakes on 15 July 2026
| Instrument | Move | Size |
|---|---|---|
| Wheat WHEAT | +7.33% | +4.3σ |
| Rough Rice RICE | +5.93% | +3.6σ |
| British Pound / Canadian Dollar GBP/CAD | +0.96% | +3.4σ |
| British Pound / US Dollar GBP/USD | +1.08% | +3.3σ |
| Euro / British Pound EUR/GBP | −0.68% | −3.1σ |
| British Pound / Japanese Yen GBP/JPY | +0.97% | +3.0σ |
Oats's other quakes
On record, newest first
- 15 September 2026: +9.29%, +5.0σ
How it is measured
The move is the close-to-close return; its size is that return divided by the standard deviation of Oats's previous 20 daily returns. A quake is 3σ or more. This record was made the night after the day finished trading and has not been changed since. The live chart is on Oats's page; the last few months of every market's daily moves are on the volatility terrain, and every quake on record is in the quake archive.