Wheat: a 4.3σ rise on 15 July 2026
Recorded 7 October 2026On 15 July 2026 Wheat rose 7.33% close to close, 4.3 times its typical daily move of 1.70% over the 20 sessions before it: larger than every one of the 7 sessions on record before it. 8 other instruments of the 198 measured that day moved 2σ or more.
The day
Daily closes, as recorded the night after
- Move
- +7.33%
- Size
- +4.3σ
- Typical day before it
- 1.70%
- Close
- 677.5
- Previous close, 14 July 2026
- 631.25
- Since, to 23 October 2026
- −7.64%
Wheat, the 23 sessions to 15 July 2026
Daily closes; the last point is the quake
Show values
| Point | WHEAT |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 588 |
| 11 Jun 2026 | 587 |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 585 |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 590 |
| 16 Jun 2026 | 596 |
| 17 Jun 2026 | 613 |
| 18 Jun 2026 | 606 |
| 22 Jun 2026 | 598 |
| 23 Jun 2026 | 587 |
| 24 Jun 2026 | 586 |
| 25 Jun 2026 | 591 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 578 |
| 29 Jun 2026 | 570 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 581 |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 592 |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 591 |
| 6 Jul 2026 | 606 |
| 7 Jul 2026 | 609 |
| 8 Jul 2026 | 600 |
| 9 Jul 2026 | 611 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 632 |
| 13 Jul 2026 | 627 |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 631 |
| 15 Jul 2026 | 678 |
The same day
Other quakes on 15 July 2026
| Instrument | Move | Size |
|---|---|---|
| Oats OATS | +21.28% | +7.0σ |
| Rough Rice RICE | +5.93% | +3.6σ |
| British Pound / Canadian Dollar GBP/CAD | +0.96% | +3.4σ |
| British Pound / US Dollar GBP/USD | +1.08% | +3.3σ |
| Euro / British Pound EUR/GBP | −0.68% | −3.1σ |
| British Pound / Japanese Yen GBP/JPY | +0.97% | +3.0σ |
Wheat's other quakes
On record, newest first
- 26 August 2026: +6.56%, +3.7σ
How it is measured
The move is the close-to-close return; its size is that return divided by the standard deviation of Wheat's previous 20 daily returns. A quake is 3σ or more. This record was made the night after the day finished trading and has not been changed since. The live chart is on Wheat's page; the last few months of every market's daily moves are on the volatility terrain, and every quake on record is in the quake archive.