Caterpillar: a 3.5σ fall on 7 October 2026
Recorded 9 October 2026On 7 October 2026 Caterpillar fell 5.75% close to close, 3.5 times its typical daily move of 1.64% over the 20 sessions before it: larger than every one of the 64 sessions on record before it. 13 other instruments of the 193 measured that day moved 2σ or more.
The day
Daily closes, as recorded the night after
- Move
- −5.75%
- Size
- −3.5σ
- Typical day before it
- 1.64%
- Close
- 813.83
- Previous close, 6 October 2026
- 863.44
- Since, to 21 October 2026
- −9.05%
Caterpillar, the 30 sessions to 7 October 2026
Daily closes; the last point is the quake
Show values
| Point | CAT |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 811 |
| 26 Aug 2026 | 822 |
| 27 Aug 2026 | 817 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 800 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | 797 |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 779 |
| 2 Sep 2026 | 792 |
| 3 Sep 2026 | 800 |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 814 |
| 8 Sep 2026 | 822 |
| 9 Sep 2026 | 816 |
| 10 Sep 2026 | 805 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 819 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | 784 |
| 15 Sep 2026 | 784 |
| 16 Sep 2026 | 783 |
| 17 Sep 2026 | 799 |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 809 |
| 21 Sep 2026 | 817 |
| 22 Sep 2026 | 808 |
| 23 Sep 2026 | 812 |
| 24 Sep 2026 | 805 |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 822 |
| 28 Sep 2026 | 820 |
| 29 Sep 2026 | 827 |
| 30 Sep 2026 | 811 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 826 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 845 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | 848 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 863 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 814 |
The same day
Other quakes on 7 October 2026
No other instrument moved 3σ or more that day: this one moved on its own.
How it is measured
The move is the close-to-close return; its size is that return divided by the standard deviation of Caterpillar's previous 20 daily returns. A quake is 3σ or more. This record was made the night after the day finished trading and has not been changed since. The live chart is on Caterpillar's page; the last few months of every market's daily moves are on the volatility terrain, and every quake on record is in the quake archive.