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ASX 200: a 3.6σ fall on 1 October 2026

Recorded 7 October 2026

On 1 October 2026 ASX 200 fell 1.99% close to close, 3.6 times its typical daily move of 0.55% over the 20 sessions before it: larger than every one of the 65 sessions on record before it. 32 other instruments of the 198 measured that day moved 2σ or more.

The day

Daily closes, as recorded the night after

Move
−1.99%
Size
−3.6σ
Typical day before it
0.55%
Close
8,614.4
Previous close, 30 September 2026
8,789.3
Since, to 22 October 2026
+1.70%

ASX 200, the 30 sessions to 1 October 2026

Daily closes; the last point is the quake

Show values
ASX 200, the 30 sessions to 1 October 2026
Point ASX200
20 Aug 2026 9,084
21 Aug 2026 9,059
24 Aug 2026 9,103
25 Aug 2026 9,165
26 Aug 2026 9,128
27 Aug 2026 9,038
28 Aug 2026 9,092
31 Aug 2026 9,076
1 Sep 2026 9,067
2 Sep 2026 8,978
3 Sep 2026 9,020
4 Sep 2026 9,006
7 Sep 2026 9,011
8 Sep 2026 8,921
9 Sep 2026 8,911
10 Sep 2026 8,819
11 Sep 2026 8,741
14 Sep 2026 8,750
15 Sep 2026 8,673
16 Sep 2026 8,697
17 Sep 2026 8,732
18 Sep 2026 8,731
21 Sep 2026 8,732
22 Sep 2026 8,758
23 Sep 2026 8,765
24 Sep 2026 8,702
25 Sep 2026 8,665
28 Sep 2026 8,680
29 Sep 2026 8,709
30 Sep 2026 8,789
1 Oct 2026 8,614

The same day

Other quakes on 1 October 2026

InstrumentMoveSize
Euro / Swiss Franc EUR/CHF −1.31% −6.4σ
Euro / Canadian Dollar EUR/CAD −0.80% −5.1σ
Sugar No. 11 SUGAR +7.43% +4.6σ
British Pound / Swiss Franc GBP/CHF −1.11% −4.2σ
New Zealand Dollar / Swiss Franc NZD/CHF −1.20% −4.1σ
US Dollar / South African Rand USD/ZAR +1.70% +3.4σ
US Dollar / Danish Krone USD/DKK +0.70% +3.1σ
Australian Dollar / Swiss Franc AUD/CHF −0.85% −3.0σ
Euro / US Dollar EUR/USD −0.68% −3.0σ

How it is measured

The move is the close-to-close return; its size is that return divided by the standard deviation of ASX 200's previous 20 daily returns. A quake is 3σ or more. This record was made the night after the day finished trading and has not been changed since. The live chart is on ASX 200's page; the last few months of every market's daily moves are on the volatility terrain, and every quake on record is in the quake archive.