Optimism: a 3.3σ fall on 27 July 2026
Recorded 7 October 2026On 27 July 2026 Optimism fell 8.34% close to close, 3.3 times its typical daily move of 2.53% over the 20 sessions before it: larger than every one of the 31 sessions on record before it. 28 other instruments of the 199 measured that day moved 2σ or more.
The day
Daily closes, as recorded the night after
- Move
- −8.34%
- Size
- −3.3σ
- Typical day before it
- 2.53%
- Close
- 0.087121
- Previous close, 26 July 2026
- 0.095052
- Since, to 23 October 2026
- +34.94%
Optimism, the 30 sessions to 27 July 2026
Daily closes; the last point is the quake
Show values
| Point | OP |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 0.1006 |
| 28 Jun 2026 | 0.0999 |
| 29 Jun 2026 | 0.1002 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 0.0959 |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.0946 |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 0.0988 |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.1071 |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 0.1076 |
| 5 Jul 2026 | 0.1083 |
| 6 Jul 2026 | 0.1072 |
| 7 Jul 2026 | 0.1021 |
| 8 Jul 2026 | 0.0993 |
| 9 Jul 2026 | 0.1020 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.1034 |
| 11 Jul 2026 | 0.1019 |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 0.1002 |
| 13 Jul 2026 | 0.0982 |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 0.1016 |
| 15 Jul 2026 | 0.1021 |
| 16 Jul 2026 | 0.0986 |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.0960 |
| 18 Jul 2026 | 0.0953 |
| 19 Jul 2026 | 0.0949 |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.0941 |
| 21 Jul 2026 | 0.0979 |
| 22 Jul 2026 | 0.0969 |
| 23 Jul 2026 | 0.0925 |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.0924 |
| 25 Jul 2026 | 0.0922 |
| 26 Jul 2026 | 0.0951 |
| 27 Jul 2026 | 0.0871 |
The same day
Other quakes on 27 July 2026
| Instrument | Move | Size |
|---|---|---|
| Cosmos ATOM | −6.95% | −4.9σ |
| Algorand ALGO | −5.63% | −3.6σ |
| Polkadot DOT | −8.31% | −3.6σ |
| Immutable IMX | −7.50% | −3.1σ |
| NEAR Protocol NEAR | −8.30% | −3.0σ |
Optimism's other quakes
On record, newest first
- 13 October 2026: +21.44%, +3.3σ
- 18 September 2026: +19.60%, +4.0σ
- 19 August 2026: +9.66%, +3.7σ
- 3 July 2026: +8.33%, +3.3σ
How it is measured
The move is the close-to-close return; its size is that return divided by the standard deviation of Optimism's previous 20 daily returns. A quake is 3σ or more. This record was made the night after the day finished trading and has not been changed since. The live chart is on Optimism's page; the last few months of every market's daily moves are on the volatility terrain, and every quake on record is in the quake archive.