Optimism: a 3.3σ rise on 3 July 2026
Recorded 10 October 2026On 3 July 2026 Optimism rose 8.33% close to close, 3.3 times its typical daily move of 2.52% over the 20 sessions before it: larger than every one of the 4 sessions on record before it. 6 other instruments of the 29 measured that day moved 2σ or more.
The day
Daily closes, as recorded the night after
- Move
- +8.33%
- Size
- +3.3σ
- Typical day before it
- 2.52%
- Close
- 0.107054
- Previous close, 2 July 2026
- 0.09882
- Since, to 23 October 2026
- +9.81%
Optimism, the 20 sessions to 3 July 2026
Daily closes; the last point is the quake
Show values
| Point | OP |
|---|---|
| 13 Jun 2026 | 0.1071 |
| 14 Jun 2026 | 0.1085 |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 0.1086 |
| 16 Jun 2026 | 0.1088 |
| 17 Jun 2026 | 0.1086 |
| 18 Jun 2026 | 0.1091 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.1035 |
| 20 Jun 2026 | 0.1035 |
| 21 Jun 2026 | 0.0995 |
| 22 Jun 2026 | 0.1006 |
| 23 Jun 2026 | 0.1012 |
| 24 Jun 2026 | 0.1042 |
| 25 Jun 2026 | 0.1055 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.1056 |
| 27 Jun 2026 | 0.1006 |
| 28 Jun 2026 | 0.0999 |
| 29 Jun 2026 | 0.1002 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 0.0959 |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.0946 |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 0.0988 |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.1071 |
The same day
Other quakes on 3 July 2026
Optimism's other quakes
On record, newest first
- 13 October 2026: +21.44%, +3.3σ
- 18 September 2026: +19.60%, +4.0σ
- 19 August 2026: +9.66%, +3.7σ
- 27 July 2026: −8.34%, −3.3σ
How it is measured
The move is the close-to-close return; its size is that return divided by the standard deviation of Optimism's previous 20 daily returns. A quake is 3σ or more. This record was made the night after the day finished trading and has not been changed since. The live chart is on Optimism's page; the last few months of every market's daily moves are on the volatility terrain, and every quake on record is in the quake archive.