US 13-Week Treasury Yield: a 3.5σ fall on 29 July 2026
Recorded 7 October 2026On 29 July 2026 US 13-Week Treasury Yield fell 2.71% close to close, 3.5 times its typical daily move of 0.77% over the 20 sessions before it: larger than every one of the 17 sessions on record before it. 25 other instruments of the 199 measured that day moved 2σ or more.
The day
Daily closes, as recorded the night after
- Move
- −2.71%
- Size
- −3.5σ
- Typical day before it
- 0.77%
- Close
- 3.658
- Previous close, 28 July 2026
- 3.76
- Since, to 22 October 2026
- +9.95%
US 13-Week Treasury Yield, the 30 sessions to 29 July 2026
Daily closes; the last point is the quake
Show values
| Point | US3M |
|---|---|
| 15 Jun 2026 | 3.618 |
| 16 Jun 2026 | 3.630 |
| 17 Jun 2026 | 3.647 |
| 18 Jun 2026 | 3.658 |
| 22 Jun 2026 | 3.680 |
| 23 Jun 2026 | 3.690 |
| 24 Jun 2026 | 3.690 |
| 25 Jun 2026 | 3.680 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.663 |
| 29 Jun 2026 | 3.680 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 3.732 |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 3.700 |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 3.668 |
| 6 Jul 2026 | 3.690 |
| 7 Jul 2026 | 3.725 |
| 8 Jul 2026 | 3.723 |
| 9 Jul 2026 | 3.682 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.695 |
| 13 Jul 2026 | 3.728 |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 3.700 |
| 15 Jul 2026 | 3.688 |
| 16 Jul 2026 | 3.697 |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.707 |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 3.705 |
| 21 Jul 2026 | 3.730 |
| 22 Jul 2026 | 3.745 |
| 23 Jul 2026 | 3.800 |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.805 |
| 27 Jul 2026 | 3.797 |
| 28 Jul 2026 | 3.760 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | 3.658 |
The same day
Other quakes on 29 July 2026
| Instrument | Move | Size |
|---|---|---|
| Euro / Australian Dollar EUR/AUD | +0.94% | +4.7σ |
| Australian Dollar / Swiss Franc AUD/CHF | −0.96% | −4.0σ |
| Dow Jones DJI | −2.19% | −3.6σ |
| Euro / US Dollar EUR/USD | +0.71% | +3.0σ |
| JPMorgan Chase JPM | −3.53% | −3.0σ |
US 13-Week Treasury Yield's other quakes
On record, newest first
- 11 September 2026: +1.77%, +3.2σ
- 28 August 2026: +1.41%, +4.1σ
How it is measured
The move is the close-to-close return; its size is that return divided by the standard deviation of US 13-Week Treasury Yield's previous 20 daily returns. A quake is 3σ or more. This record was made the night after the day finished trading and has not been changed since. The live chart is on US 13-Week Treasury Yield's page; the last few months of every market's daily moves are on the volatility terrain, and every quake on record is in the quake archive.