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Cocoa: a 3.5σ rise on 6 July 2026

Recorded 7 October 2026

On 6 July 2026 Cocoa rose 13.19% close to close, 3.5 times its typical daily move of 3.77% over the 20 sessions before it: larger than every one of the 0 sessions on record before it. 7 other instruments of the 198 measured that day moved 2σ or more.

The day

Daily closes, as recorded the night after

Move
+13.19%
Size
+3.5σ
Typical day before it
3.77%
Close
5,602
Previous close, 2 July 2026
4,949
Since, to 22 October 2026
+0.09%

Cocoa, the 16 sessions to 6 July 2026

Daily closes; the last point is the quake

Show values
Cocoa, the 16 sessions to 6 July 2026
Point COCOA
10 Jun 2026 3,757
11 Jun 2026 3,710
12 Jun 2026 3,779
15 Jun 2026 3,882
16 Jun 2026 4,142
17 Jun 2026 4,144
18 Jun 2026 4,143
22 Jun 2026 4,525
23 Jun 2026 4,545
24 Jun 2026 4,902
25 Jun 2026 5,159
26 Jun 2026 5,014
29 Jun 2026 4,895
30 Jun 2026 5,002
1 Jul 2026 5,006
2 Jul 2026 4,949
6 Jul 2026 5,602

The same day

Other quakes on 6 July 2026

InstrumentMoveSize
Coffee COFFEE +15.30% +5.9σ
Soybeans SOYBEAN +4.46% +5.3σ
Soybean Meal SOYMEAL +2.37% +3.4σ

How it is measured

The move is the close-to-close return; its size is that return divided by the standard deviation of Cocoa's previous 20 daily returns. A quake is 3σ or more. This record was made the night after the day finished trading and has not been changed since. The live chart is on Cocoa's page; the last few months of every market's daily moves are on the volatility terrain, and every quake on record is in the quake archive.